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Posted By 3xtrem3 In 14 Mar 2018
Rockstar has not yet officially announced the launch of Grand Theft Auto Grand Theft Auto 6, but do not wait for official confirmation until Red Dead Redemption 2 is released this autumn, October 26, 2018, and GTA 6 it is very unlikely to be launched until 2020 or later. As absurd as it sounds, there are still some predictions after the late launches of the games later. In the following lines we will express our opinions / speculations about the launch date, structure and more.    [b]What did Rockstar say about GTA 6?[/b]     Rockstar Norths first president spoke about the new series in 2013 in an interview for Develop magazine, which kicked off online rumors:    [i] "We do not know what GTA 6 will be, but we have some ideas," Benzies said in the interview. "We have roughly 45 years of ideas that we want to do, well pick the right ones, where the first question is set, then it defines missions, doing different things in LA than in New York or Miami. the story is solved together, and the story is a basic flow of how it works so you can place the mission, "said former rockstar president Leslie Benzies.[/i]     Of course, Benz did not give much details on what form GTA 6 would take and recently left Rockstar North in a rather fierce situation. GTA 5 was created by over 1,000 studio-based developers around the world, so its a courageous move to change the template. In fact, its possible that the location is already set: we talked to a software vendor at the E3 2015, speaking at discretion, he said the development of the new GTA 6 game was already in full swing.        Frankly, nobody outside Rockstar North and probably their collaborators know nothing about GTA6, but using historical precedents and an estimation technique called the Fermi problem, we can establish a more credible sketch. What is Fermis problem? The term was recently popularized in Superforecasting.  [b]When will GTA 6 launch date?[/b]     If Rockstar confirmed GTA 6 on the day Red Dead Redemption 2 came out (October 26, 2018), then based on historical delays between the announcements of the launch of the new GTA series and the actual launch of the game, we would have waited around 22 months - August 2020.     In fact, Rockstar is unlikely to confirm GTA 6 by the end of 2018 / early 2019 to give RDR2 time to "breathe" ... so a launch in 2020/2021 seems more likely. You can see the difference between the ad and the launch for previous GTA games (we ignore secondary versions).    [img] [/img]           I have approximated some data, but this table shows you the difference between the "Ad" and "Release" of GTA games.     If GTA 6 was part of a surprise launch in April 2019, it would have been a 67-month gap between GTA 5 and GTA 6. The biggest difference was 47 months between The Ballad of Gay Tony and GTA 5. If the launch date was in 2020, which seems more likely, this gap would be closer to 83 months between GTA 5 and GTA 6, ie almost seven years, which is longer than a middle console generation.     Gaming analyst Michael Pachter, who speaks with Gaming Bolt, does not think we will see an ad before 2020 or we will launch in 2021.     [b]What will be the venue of the action?[/b]     After more speculation by more Analitycs gaming specialists, the most likely location will be in South America, Miami. It is also assumed that this map will be much higher than the previous series.     These are our views, and the other analysts about GTA 6, we look forward to your comments on this game in the comments section.
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